Edmunds is predicting 11.5 million cars will be sold in the US in 2010. That's up from the 10.3 million cars and trucks from 2009. Of those, 3.2 percent in 2010 will be hybrids, up from the 2.8 percent (assuming they are right about December) for 2009. 3.2 percent equates to 368,000 units sold in 2010, up from 288,400 units in 2009.
That means Edmunds expect the half a percent gain each year will continue.
"Most car shoppers will focus on value and fuel economy as the economy continues to recover," stated Edmunds.com Senior Analyst Jessica Caldwell. "It has already become trendy to make sensible choices, and we expect that this will be a theme for 2010 sales."
In 2009, diesel market share will be 2.1 percent. Edmunds expects that to remain stable at about 2.2 percent for 2010. But a stable market share in a year with increased number of sales, means the numbers will go up.
My question is, do these figures include the new plug-ins on the way?
BTW, I don't expect plug-in hybrids (or E-REV vehicles like the Volt) to actually make a big impact one way or the other in 2010, as the number available will still be very low. I just wasn't sure where they were being counted.
Thursday, December 17, 2009
Edmunds Predicts Slight Uptick in Hybrid Sales for 2010
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